DeVonta Smith
Jet X Graphic, Getty Images

DeVonta Smith’s outrageous national championship game performance shouldn’t impact the New York Jets NFL draft strategy in the least.

Robby Sabo

He’s explosive, smart and catches everything thrown his way. He conducts himself with class and in a manner that rubs off on his teammates. He won this past season’s Heisman Trophy and capped off a national championship with 215 yards and three touchdowns on 12 receptions—all while missing most of the second half.

His name is DeVonta Smith, and he’s everything an NFL general manager would want on the roster and in the building.

He’s also a guy that shouldn’t impact the New York Jets 2021 NFL draft strategy. At the very least, his outrageous title game performance shouldn’t change anything about what the team does at No. 2. How Joe Douglas goes about this business makes it obvious.

June 11, 2019, brought a different feel to Florham Park, NJ. The day that saw the Jets officially introduce Douglas as the team’s new general manager brought hope—something that’s not unusual whenever a new era is ushered in.

The “hope” part of it remained the same for fans. What felt different was found in the messaging.

Rather than an all-over-the-place vision, Douglas’s plan brought a tried and tested element. The big man who helped the Philadelphia Eagles to their first-ever Super Bowl win didn’t just state the obvious; he unapologetically laid the foundation for how he believes a team should be built.

“It starts with the quarterback and both lines,” Douglas said—something that hadn’t been uttered that plainly in five drafts under Mike Maccagnan.

“Football is a game of wills,” Douglas added. “We’re going to try to build a team that can impose their will on other teams and to do that, you have to be strong up front.”

To Douglas, the former offensive lineman, it starts with the infrastructure that helps raise development ceilings for the outer positions such as cornerback, safety, running back and wide receiver. In football, it rarely works as well the other way around. A stud wideout doesn’t affect a left tackle’s play to nearly the same degree a left tackle can lift the receiver.

Everything trickles out, not in.

Knowing this, it’s evident that Smith’s title game performance on Monday night won’t impact the Jets’ 2021 NFL draft strategy in the least. It’s just not time yet to use that valuable a draft pick on an all-world receiver.

At No. 2, the Jets could go in a myriad of directions. The most obvious choice would be a quarterback. Sam Darnold‘s 2020 performance didn’t help ease any concerns about his future play. In fact, it had the opposite effect, making one wonder how any young GM could afford to gamble his future on Darnold.

There are only 32 general manager jobs in the NFL. Not capitalizing on that first try usually leads to never getting another shot. Douglas is no dummy. He came to New Jersey knowing he needed to build this thing the right way. Ensuring he signed a six-year deal, the slow and steady approach would rule the day over the one-season flash we saw in 2015 and again, in 2019, with the Le’Veon Bell and C.J. Mosley signings.

A quarterback at No. 2 would immediately put the Jets on the rookie-contract plan. Zach Wilson or Justin Fields would only account for $7-9 million in cap space over the first four seasons, which obviously allows much more room under the salary cap to align the rest of the roster correctly. Considering how critical the position is, a quarterback at No. 2 remains the most likely option—as long as Douglas is comfortable enough with one of the two prospects.

The second option is a non-quarterback. This would mean Oregon tackle Penei Sewell or the man of the moment, Smith. The third and final option would have Douglas trading down. New York would collect more draft capital and work on gaining depth and building the trenches Douglas holds so close to his football heart.

Option No. 1 (draft a quarterback) and No. 3 (trade down) make sense. Each line with Douglas’s vision. Sewell also makes sense. Smith does not.

A receiver at No. 2 simply doesn’t move the development needle to the same degree as the other options.

Remember, the goal is development. The objective is to create an environment that maximizes each player’s development ceiling. Smith, as talented as he is, doesn’t get that done nearly to the same degree a quarterback, Sewell or a trade-down scenario would.

Offensive line play drives total offense in the NFL. It’s that simple. A quick glance at the playoff teams makes that thought a certainty. Of PFF’s top 14-rated offensive line units in 2020, only four did not make the playoffs. They were the New England Patriots (No. 4), San Francisco 49ers (No. 9), Arizona Cardinals (No. 12) and Detriot Lions (No. 13). The four playoff teams that fell outside of the top 14 are the Tennessee Titans (No. 15), Baltimore Ravens (No. 16), Pittsburgh Steelers (No. 17) and Chicago Bears (No. 20).

Jets X-Factor Membership

The Jets finished 29th, and even with Mekhi Becton in tow, nothing upfront has been truly solved. Becton’s rookie-year injuries have to be considered no matter how dominant the kid played this past season.

The wide receiver unit and player rankings don’t correlate to winning to nearly the same degree as the offensive line does. For instance, the Minnesota Vikings saw two receivers finish in the top six—rookie Justin Jefferson (No. 2) and veteran Adam Thielen (No. 6). Julio Jones finished ninth as part of a horrid Atlanta Falcons team, while Houston Texans’ Will Fuller came in at No. 10.

Additionally, Smith’s three-touchdown, 200-plus-yard first-half performance Monday night wasn’t all that impressive. (It’s amazing but true.) It has nothing to do with the kid, himself. It instead deals with the state of the sport. Ohio State’s defense played as if they were taking on the Greatest Show on Turf. Offense came so naturally to Alabama that even Smith’s outrageous numbers didn’t feel that all impressive.

The wild-card in a possible Smith-at-No. 2-move is how Douglas feels about the kid’s character. Only if Smith’s character and work ethic are so impressive will Douglas even consider a wideout in that spot. And even in that case, it’s doubtful Smith’s last collegiate performance will impact the Jets’ overall draft strategy.

In the end, the roster just isn’t there yet. Offensive line, edge rusher, cornerback and, of course, quarterback take precedence over wide receiver—no matter how tempting it may be to snag a highlight-ready machine.

By understanding Joe Douglas’s first-day words and team-building vision, it becomes clear that DeVonta Smith at No. 2 probably shouldn’t be big-time consideration at this point. A quarterback is needed, the offensive line still needs work, a couple of edge rushers are required, and cornerbacks need to be found. Wide receiver is necessary, but not at No. 2. Not yet.

Audio Version available to members only: Learn more here

Download Jet X Mobile on the App Store and Google Play.

Want More NY Jets News & Jets X-Factor Content?

Download the free Jet X Mobile App to get customizable notifications directly to your iOS (App Store) or Google/Android (Google Play) device.

Add Jets X-Factor to your Google News feed to stay up to date with the New York Jets.

Follow us on Twitter @jetsxfactor for all the latest New York Jets news, Facebook for even more, Instagram for some of the top NY Jets images, and YouTube for original Jets X-Factor videos.

Join the official Jets Discord community to connect with likeminded fans.

Robby Sabo is a co-founder, developer and credentialed New York Jets content creator for Jets X-Factor | Jet X, which includes Sabo's Sessions (in-depth film breakdowns) and Sabo with the Jets. Host: Underdog Jets Podcast with Wayne Chrebet and Sabo Radio. Member: Pro Football Writers of America. Coach: Port Jervis (NY) High School. Washed up strong safety and 400M runner. Founder: Elite Sports NY - ESNY (sold in 2020). SEO: XLM Email: robby.sabo[at]jetsxfactor.com
0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
5 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Joseph De Setto
Joseph De Setto
1 year ago

How bout trade the pick and draft Smith. A trade with Atlanta at four can probably get you Smith or just keep trading down!

Dark Demonik
Dark Demonik
1 year ago

I disagree. I do not risk a Fields or Wilson with the #2 pick… My first option is the trade the pick… My 2nd is to draft Sewell and my 3rd is Trade The Pick!!!

Pedro
Pedro
1 year ago
Reply to  Dark Demonik

You need a QB. It’s a QB league. You keep drafting them until you get it right. In any other year, Wilson and Fields would go #1. You’re not likely to be in a position to draft a #1 in next year’s draft or the one after that, so you’d wind up having to expend draft capital to get a top QB. Because of the rookie cap, you can’t stick with Darnold unless he suddenly turned into Josh Allen. Ergo, you draft Wilson or Fields, whichever one you like better. Is it a risk? Of course. But this is a risk-reward proposition–and you can’t win championships in the NFL without a stud QB.

Dark Demonik
Dark Demonik
1 year ago
Reply to  Pedro

We all know its a QB league it does not mean you draft ANY QB because its a QB league. You can not convince me Fields or Wilson are #2 PICK WORTHY or top 20 even… I don’t see it. You don’t draft a QB because you need it. Like Sabo said many times its the teams job to draft the best TALENT on the board. To me you trade down and sadly ride with Sam Turnovers one more season as bad as Sam Darnold is i still think he is better than these QBs…. If Sam stinks up the joint get rid of him… 4 years should be the year QBs understand and know the game anyways. I do not support a Fields or Wilson pick with the #2 selection

Pedro
Pedro
1 year ago
Reply to  Dark Demonik

“You cannot convince me Fields or Wilson are #2 Pick worthy or top 20 even?” Lol. So you’re a proven talent evaluator? You have a better take on this than the scouts and experts? “You don’t draft a QB because you need it.” Really? “It’s the team’s job to draft the best talent on the board.” So if the best talent on the board is a wide receiver (D. Smith) or running back, that’s who you take? That’s thinking from another time. It’s no longer best athlete available. Things are weighted by position. QBs are most valuable. After that come Edge Rushers, DEs, OLBs, and so on down to least valuable SS. When you draft you’re factoring in value based on both position, skill set and talent–and certainly also on need, i.e., if you have a stud QB, you’re not going to take another stud QB, you’re going to trade for assets. But if you need a stud QB–well, duh, that’s who you take. No position is more valuable or harder to fill.
Now, I’m no proven talent evaluator either. But I trust the experts who all regard Fields and Wilson as top ten picks. And I trust Joe Douglas to decide between the two of them. Might they go bust like Darnold? Sure. Top 10 QBs bust more often than non top-ten QBs. But non QBs also bust. Going no further than the Jets, do the names Vernon Gholston, Johnny Lam Jones, Blair Thomas, Kyle Brady and Dee Milliner ring a bell?