Week 3 New York Jets-Cincinnati Bengals odds: Can Jets upset Bengals again?
For the second year in a row, the New York Jets and Cincinnati Bengals are set to do battle at MetLife Stadium. The Jets are looking to replicate last year’s effort, when they took a 34-31 victory despite entering the game as 10.5-point home underdogs.
The circumstances are much different this time around. Last year, the Bengals were 5-2 and in possession of the AFC’s No. 1 seed while the Jets were 1-5. This time, the Bengals are desperate at 0-2 while the Jets are riding high at 1-1 after one of the most unlikely comebacks in NFL history.
Jets-Bengals moneyline, spread, over-under
- Money line (ML): Bengals -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Jets +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bengals -5.5 (-110) | Jets +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
Despite the Jets’ advantage in the win column, sportsbooks are not buying into New York just yet, nor are they burying the Bengals. Cincinnati remains a 5.5-point road favorite.
The over-under is set at 45.5. Cincinnati (18.5 PPG, 21.5 PAPG) has gone under that total in each of its first two games, even with the first going to overtime. New York (20.0 PPG, 27.5 PAPG) went under in Week 1 but over in Week 2.
Here are the game’s Any Time Touchdown Scorer odds:
- Joe Mixon (-145)
- Ja’Marr Chase (-115)
- Tee Higgins (+135)
- Michael Carter (+195)
- Elijah Moore (+230)
- Garrett Wilson (+250)
- Breece Hall (+250)
- Tyler Boyd (+280)
- Hayden Hurst (+290)
- Tyler Conklin (+300)
- Corey Davis (+300)
- Joe Burrow (+500)
- Cincinnati Defense (+600)
- Braxton Berrios (+900)
- Mitchell Wilcox (+950)
- New York Jets Defense (+950)
- C.J. Uzomah (+1000)
- Samaje Perine (+1000)
- Jeremy Ruckert (+1000)
- Joe Flacco (+1200)
- Ty Johnson (+1400)
- Devin Asiasi (+1600)
- Stanley Morgan (+1600)
- Jeff Smith (+1700)
- Mike Thomas (+2300)
- Trent Taylor (+2300)
- Chris Evans (+2300)
For New York, the bet that catches my eye is a defensive touchdown at +950.
The Bengals offensive line has played brutally, allowing an NFL-high 13 sacks on QB Joe Burrow. Their ineptitude puts Burrow in a lot of high-danger situations. If Cincinnati continues to allow heavy pressure on Burrow, New York’s defense will have a real shot at taking one to the house. Burrow threw two pick-sixes in 2021 before throwing another against Pittsburgh in this year’s opener. He’s also fumbled three times this season.
For Cincinnati, keep an eye on tight end Hayden Hurst at +290. Hurst gets a strong volume of opportunities as he ranks second on the team with 15 targets this year (7.5 per game). He will face a Jets defense that is allowing the sixth-most receptions to TEs this season (5.5 per game), which is the same ranking they had in that category last year.
Another pair of interesting prop bets lie with the first-half and second-half spreads.
The Bengals are favored by 3.5 points (-110) in the first half. However, the Jets have been a better first-half team than the Bengals.
Cincinnati has been outscored 34-9 in the first half this season, trailing 17-6 against Pittsburgh and 17-3 against Dallas. New York’s first-half margin is a less disastrous 24-17, trailing 10-3 against Baltimore but going into the half tied at 14-14 against Cleveland.
Meanwhile, the Bengals are favored by a slightly lesser spread of 3 points (-110) in the second half despite being a much better second-half team. Cincinnati has a 28-6 scoring margin in the second half, outscoring their opponent 14-3 in both games. New York has been outscored 30-23, losing 14-6 to Baltimore and outscoring Cleveland 17-16.