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New England Patriots are favored over New York Jets at MetLife Stadium

New York Jets fans are going to be furious about this one. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the New England Patriots have opened as 1.5-point road favorites over the Jets going into the rivals’ Week 7 meeting in New Jersey.

Or, perhaps Jets fans in the sports betting world will appreciate the apparently golden opportunity to cash in.

It’s a shocking spread considering where each of the teams are at going into Week 7. The Patriots are 3-4 and coming off an embarrassing 33-14 home loss to the Chicago Bears, which they entered as 8.5-point favorites. The Jets have won four consecutive games since the season debut of quarterback Zach Wilson. Last week, they covered as 1.5-point road favorites in Denver, earning a 16-9 victory over the Broncos.

However, the Jets are reeling on the injury front, which may have contributed to the spread. In last week’s win, they lost running back Breece Hall and offensive lineman Alijah Vera-Tucker to season-ending injuries. New York responded to the loss of Hall by trading for Jaguars running back James Robinson, which helps ease the blow, but the Jets are undoubtedly a less talented team than they were a week ago.

The Jets are aiming to pick up their first win over the Patriots since Week 16 of the 2015 season. Since then, New England has won 12 consecutive contests over New York, including six consecutive games at MetLife Stadium. Nine of the 12 victories were by double-digits, although only three of the six games at MetLife Stadium were double-digit Patriot victories.

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Michael Nania is one of the best analytical New York Jets minds in the world, combining his statistical expertise with game film to add proper context to the data. Nania scrapes every corner, ensuring you know all there is to know about everyone from the QB to the long snapper. Nania's Numbers, Nania's QB Grades, and Nania's All-22 give fans a deeper and more well-rounded dive into the Jets than anyone else can offer. Email: michael.nania[at]jetsxfactor.com - Twitter: @Michael_Nania
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Jim G
Jim G
1 month ago

I’m not sure why anyone is surprised by this. The Jets will have to keep earning respect week to week. But with all the key injuries, Belichick’s history after being embarrassed, his record against newbie QBs, this line should surprise no one.

Sarah
Sarah
1 month ago

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Last edited 1 month ago by Sarah
Corey Persky
Corey Persky
1 month ago

I checked this line immediately after we won. It was already posted as Pats -2/5 and -1.5. I was shocked then. Then it went off the board after the Pats stunning loss. This is one of the fishiest lines that I can ever recall seeing. I do bet on football, but I never bet against the Jets. This looks so fishy, that I would normally bet huge on the Pats. Vegas is BEGGING the public to back the Jets, I will sit back and watch, and hope that Vegas gets their asses handed to them. Unfortunately for us Jets fans, Vegas typically gets these things right.

Jonathan Richter
Jonathan Richter
1 month ago

I’m glad we’re the underdogs. I hope we’re the underdogs every week, and we keep defying the odds. I think Robinson is an excellent replacement for Breece. We just need Ogbuehi to not suck this week. Chicago ran for like 250 yds against NE last night. NE’s D looked helpless. AND IT WAS IN FOXBORO!!! we’re going to ground and pound them on both O and D. It’s a good thing for NE they’ve got 2 healthy starting QBs. They’re going to need them.

Richard Hausig
Richard Hausig
1 month ago

Not surprised. Its not just Hall, we lost our best o-lineman too and Pats coming in off a loss. Belicheck v Wilson?

Im very pleased to see the growth we are seeing. I think the coaches have done a much better job here, the defense has become competitive and has a chance to be really good. The special teams have been tremendous as always but even better.

But this is a tough one for Wilson coming off last week. This coach sees every weakness, every flaw and he knows how to attack them. The only winning scenerio I see is a clean game from Wilson, a low scoring contest and a big turnover or two.

If the Jets have the guts they should come out throwing it and hope they catch the defense off guard early. Maybe a WR can make a play?

Jonathan Richter
Jonathan Richter
1 month ago
Reply to  Richard Hausig

After the waxing Chicago gave them last night, I’m not that worried about our offense. Ground and pound, baby.

Jets71
Jets71
1 month ago
Reply to  Richard Hausig

I agree, it’s more than Breece, AVT is a huge loss, and don’t forget we don’t know about Corey Davis, or E. Moore. So…it’s Zach, Garret Wilson, Berrios, Mims, Smith vs. Sleazechick. That worries me.

DFargas
DFargas
1 month ago
Reply to  Jets71

Why wouldn’t Moore play? He’s back with the team. And don’t forget the two pass-catching TEs. And Michael Carter catching passes out of the backfield.

Psi
Psi
1 month ago

Call this the Zach Wilson line. Until he shows up better in the eyes of most, this will continue.

Richard Hausig
Richard Hausig
1 month ago
Reply to  Psi

Well said.

Peter Buell
Peter Buell
1 month ago
Reply to  Psi

I’m sick of it ALL being put on Wilson. Sunday, a 7 step drop usually meant three 300+LB guys chasing him all over the field.
If Flacco were playing he’d be in traction

Mike Palazzo
Mike Palazzo
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter Buell

I agree, Its not all on Wilson. The O-line had a poor outing against Denver. What I would like to see from the QB is him stepping up in the pocket to avoid pressure as apposed to back peddling. He loves to extend plays but can sometimes go so far backwards that its almost imposable for the play to gain any positive yardage. He was very lucky that he was ruled down on that one scramble. That would have changed the game completely for Denver. Lafleur has to start calling plays out of shotgun if Wilson is getting pressured because he will not have to drop back, Which should buy him an extra second or two and if pressured he can step up with the ball and take off for positive yardage. The Bears ran a lot of shotgun against the Pats to negate there pass rush.

mlesko73
mlesko73
1 month ago
Reply to  Mike Palazzo

The Bears called thirteen (13) planned QB runs; more than all their other games combined. This kept Belicheat from Blitzing and from playing man. Smart move.

cduffynyc
cduffynyc
1 month ago
Reply to  Psi

I think it’s a great explanation; and to those giving Zach a pass…enough. I’m not saying he shouldn’t be our QB (yet), but he’s gotta play better. He missed two wide open tight end chances while NOT being pressured, simply throwing high (it’s bad to throw high). Kudos to him for no turnovers, but in at least two of these four wins he threw very pick-able balls that the defenders dropped….any interception in any of these games and we lose….so he’s not losing games, but he’s not winning them either.

Last edited 1 month ago by cduffynyc