Michael Nania analyzes the efficiency of Adam Gase‘s Jets offense at every down-and-distance in 2019.
All data is regarding the Jets’ offensive performance from Weeks 6-17 of 2019 – the span following Sam Darnold‘s return to the lineup against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 6.
For each distance-to-go on first, second, and third down, I have listed the following:
- Total plays, yards, and first downs accumulated by the Jets
- Average yards per play
- Percentage of plays recording a first down
- Percentage of plays running a passing play (play ended in pass attempt or sack)
- The NFL league averages in yards per play, first down rate, and pass ratio
- How the Jets’ rates compare to the NFL league averages
- Net totals – how the Jets’ totals in yards and first downs compared to what they would have accumulated if they performed at the league average level
The data tells plenty of interesting stories. Let’s jump into things with a look at the Jets’ performance on 1st & 10.
If Gase doesn’t change these contrarian tendencies in 2020, he likely won’t get the chance in 2021. Much to the glee of his legion of haters.
Agreed, he is just trying to be too smart much of the time. A great example was Week 13 in Cincinnati, where the Jets never ran outside despite the Bengals having the league’s worst outside rush D heading into that game. Sometimes the popular choice is popular for a good reason.
These Gase tendencies are the same @joerb showed on his breakdown of Gase’s offense in Miami m it’s sad that he hasn’t changed.
The lack of progress is definitely worrisome, I guess we will see if he can figure things out with better OL play, but I’m not too confident. He’s capable of leading a good offense, it’s certainly not impossible – he has flashes of genius here and there (you saw it on his opening drives) – but a lot has to change in terms of molding the gameplan to strengths/weaknesses of both the Jets and the opponent + the ability to make in-game adjustments.