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New York Jets 2021 sports betting outlook: futures, odds

Robert Saleh
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The New York Jets may be headed in the right direction, but sportsbooks are still not optimistic about their chances of success in 2021.

Can you believe it? The New York Jets have now experienced over six full decades since Joe Namath shocked the world while bringing two professional football leagues together.

To some fans, the time has flown by. To others, the wait has been excruciating.

Interestingly, younger Jets fans hadn’t had it so bad since Bill Parcells took control in 1997, enjoying seven playoff appearances and only three losing seasons over a 14-season span from 1997-2010, but now it’s been a full decade without the playoffs.

Hardly anybody believes the Jets have a shot in 2021 and DraftKings Sportsbook agrees, placing them tied for 29th to win Super Bowl 56 with +10000 odds.

Jets Odds to Win Super Bowl 56

1. Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+650)
T3. Buffalo Bills (+1300)
T3. Los Angeles Rams (+1300)
T5. Baltimore Ravens (+1400)
T5. Green Bay Packers (+1400)
T5. San Francisco 49ers (+1400)
8. Cleveland Browns (+1600)
T9. Denver Broncos (+2500)
T9. Indianapolis Colts (+2500)
T9. Seattle Seahawks (+2500)
T12. Dallas Cowboys (+2800)
T12. Miami Dolphins (+2800)
T12. New Orleans Saints (+2800)
15. New England Patriots (+3000)
16. Los Angeles Chargers (+3300)
T17. Arizona Cardinals (+4000)
T17. Minnesota VIkings (+4000)
T17. Pittsburgh Steelers (+4000)
T17. Tennessee Titans (+4000)
T21. Atlanta Falcons (+5000)
T21. Chicago Bears (+5000)
T21. Washington Football Team (+5000)
24. New York Giants (+6600)
T25. Carolina Panthers (+7000)
T25. Las Vegas Raiders (+7000)
T25. Philadelphia Eagles (+7000)
28. Jacksonville Jaguars (+8000)
T29. Cincinnati Bengals (+10000)
T29. New York Jets (+10000)
31. Detroit Lions (+15000)
32. Houston Texans (+17500)

It makes sense that the Jets (+10000) are considered longshots to win it all. Despite the promising core they have constructed this offseason, they remain in the midst of a transitional phase and will likely be led by a rookie quarterback in Zach Wilson. A rookie passer has never won a Super Bowl.

Patrick Mahomes’ Chiefs (+500) remain Super Bowl favorites over Tom Brady’s Buccaneers (+650) despite the latter taking the victory over the former in Super Bowl 55. There is a huge gap between the second-ranked Bucs and the third-ranked Bills and Rams (+1300).

Jets Odds to Win the AFC

1. Kansas City Chiefs (+250)
2. Buffalo Bills (+625)
3. Baltimore Ravens (+650)
4. Cleveland Browns (+750)
T5. Denver Broncos (+1200)
T5. Indianapolis Colts (+1200)
7. Miami Dolphins (+1400)
8. New England Patriots (+1500)
9. Los Angeles Chargers (+1600)
T10. Pittsburgh Steelers (+1800)
T10. Tennessee Titans (+1800)
12. Las Vegas Raiders (+3300)
13. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4000)
T14. Cincinnati Bengals (+5000)
T14. New York Jets (+5000)
16. Houston Texans (+8000)

A rookie quarterback has never even appeared in a Super Bowl (as a starter), let alone win it, so it again makes sense that the Jets (+5000) are considered massive underdogs to compete for the AFC title.

Just as with the Super Bowl odds, the Jets are tied for second-to-last with the Bengals. The two playoff-starved franchises sit ahead of only the downtrodden Texans (+8000) when it comes to AFC championship odds.

Jets Odds to Win the AFC East

1. Buffalo Bills (-150)
2. Miami Dolphins (+325)
3. New England Patriots (+350)
4. New York Jets (+2000)

The Bills (-150) are heavy favorites to go back-to-back as AFC East champions, while the Dolphins (+325) and Patriots (+350) are neck-and-neck for the second-best odds. New York (+2000) sits way behind – eight teams have better odds to win the Super Bowl than the Jets have to win their own division.

Houston has the worst odds to win its division at +2200, while the Bengals and Lions are tied with the Jets for second-worst at +2000.

The Jets last won the AFC East in 2002. They only have four division titles in franchise history: 2002, 1998, 1969, and 1968.

Jets Over-Under Win Totals

Over 6.5 (+127)
Under 6.5 (-155)

After winning two games in 2020, their fourth season out of the last five with five wins or fewer, the Jets are pegged with an over-under of 6.5 for 2021. That ties them with the Bengals, Eagles, and Jaguars for the third-worst projection, ahead of the Lions (5.0) and Texans (4.0).

Jets Odds To Make Playoffs

Yes (+490)
No (-715)

New York has missed the playoffs in 10 consecutive seasons, leaving the organization one year away from tying the longest postseason drought in franchise history, an 11-year run from 1970-80.

Jets Player/Coach Futures Odds 2021

Zach Wilson – Over 3,850.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Zach Wilson – Under 3,850.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Zach Wilson – Offensive Rookie of the Year (+700)
Robert Saleh – Coach of the Year (+2000)
Elijah Moore – Offensive Rookie of the Year (+4000)
Carl Lawson – Defensive Player of the Year (+6600)
Quinnen Williams – Defensive Player of the Year (+10000)
C.J. Mosley – Comeback Player of the Year (+10000)
Zach Wilson – NFL MVP (+15000)

Zach Wilson has been slapped with an over-under mark of 3,850.5 passing yards. That’s quite a substantial benchmark – 3,851 yards would be the fifth-best single-season total for a rookie in NFL history.

Wilson also has +700 odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, ranking fourth-highest behind Trevor Lawrence (+300) and two quarterbacks who were drafted after him, Trey Lance (+600) and Justin Fields (+600). Second-round wide receiver Elijah Moore has an outside shot at +4000.

Just for being a quarterback, Wilson is a betting option for MVP, but his odds are extremely slim at +15000.

Robert Saleh is considered one of the better Coach of the Year candidates, tying Joe Judge, Andy Reid, and Matt Rhule for 12th among the league’s 32 head coaches with +2000 odds.

Carl Lawson and Quinnen Williams are early longshot candidates for Defensive Player of the Year at +6600 and +10000, respectively. Lawson only had 5.5 sacks last year but ranked second in the NFL with 32 quarterback hits. Williams led interior defensive linemen with 2.2 run stops per game and ranked 12th with 3.0 pressures per game, also posting seven sacks.

Near the end of the season, Williams was certainly playing like a DPOY candidate. From Week 7 onward, Williams ranked second at his position in run stops per game (2.1) and third in pressures per game (4.4), placing him second among interior defensive linemen in combined run stops-plus-pressures per game (6.5) behind only Aaron Donald.

After opting out of the 2020 season and playing only two games in 2019, C.J. Mosley is considered a Comeback Player of the Year possibility at +10000.

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