All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Atlanta Falcons @ Jacksonville Jaguars: -3
- Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills: -3
- Pittsburgh Steelers @ Houston Texans: +3
- Los Angeles Rams @ Indianapolis Colts: -1
- Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers: +4.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints: -3.5
- Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles:-8.5
- Denver Broncos @ Chicago Bears: +3.5
- Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns: -2.5
- Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans: +2.5
- Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers: -6.5
- New England Patriots @ Dallas Cowboys: -6.5
- Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers: -14
- Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets: +8.5
- Seattle Seahawks @ New York Giants: +1.5
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Last week, we took the Bills against the spread (-6.5) in Washington and they won 37-3. This week, we look for the same result at home as they host the Miami Dolphins.
This Buffalo Bills team is still really good, as they’ve proven over the past two weeks by outscoring their opponents 75-10. In the offseason, surprisingly, the Bills started to become an underrated team in my opinion. It seemed many people were projecting them to fall behind the Chiefs and Bengals in the AFC. While they are two elite teams, the Buffalo Bills are just as good.
As exciting as Josh Allen is under center, the Buffalo Bills are led by their defense. Through three weeks, they are only allowing 253 yards per game and 11.7 points per contest. Both of these rank second-best in the NFL only behind the Cleveland Browns. Buffalo’s defense is also leading the NFL in opposing quarterback rating at only 54.0.
Although Tua Tagovailoa gets the ball out of his hands very quickly, the Bills’ pass rush is as good as any in the NFL. They are currently tied for third in the NFL in sacks with four per game. With Miami having a suspect offensive line, I think Buffalo’s front seven will be able to have their way against Miami.
I expect the Bills to win this game and continue to be the top dogs in the AFC East.
The play: Buffalo Bills -3
Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets
A few weeks ago this game looked like the best game of the slate in Week 4. Unfortunately, after Aaron Rodgers went down, this game now feels as uninteresting as it gets. With Zach Wilson under center and the Jets offense struggling again in their Week 3 loss to Patriots, it seems like this game could get out of hand quickly.
However, I think the Jets’ defense can keep them in this one. Kansas City’s offense has not been as dominant as we are used to this season. Before putting up 41 points on one of the worst defenses in football in the Chicago Bears, the Chiefs offense had been pretty stagnant. In Weeks 1 and 2, the Chiefs only averaged 18.5 points per game and 357 total yards.
With Trevor Siemian signing to the Jets practice squad during the week, I think Zach Wilson is playing for his football career. He should stay in the league as a backup, but Wilson will probably not have many more chances to start if he does not begin to show something.
I do not think Wilson has anything to lose anymore, so I am expecting him to start pushing the ball down more. It’s easy for me to say, but at a certain point, Wilson needs to just let it rip. Today could be the day he does just that.
I think the Jets’ defense can keep this game close in front of a national audience.
The play: New York Jets +8.5
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