As the New York Jets struggled to begin the 2025 season, it seemed like a foregone conclusion that the team would look to trade running back Breece Hall at the deadline.

A former second-round pick out of Iowa State, Hall has consistently been one of the team’s best offensive weapons. Entering the final year of his rookie contract, though, the 24-year-old’s effectiveness made him a quality option should the team look to sell ahead of the NFL’s November 4 trade deadline.

Things may have changed after the Jets’ first win last week.

During New York’s 39-38 comeback win over the Cincinnati Bengals, Hall ran for 133 yards on 7.4 yards per carry, scored two touchdown runs, and even threw the game-winning touchdown on a goal line pass to Mason Taylor.

It was the kind of game that showed how good Hall can be in a competent offense.

After a performance like that, it may not be a foregone conclusion that the youngster gets moved after all.

Hall’s future in New York

For the first time since his encouraging rookie season, Hall is averaging over five yards per carry. He has over 750 yards from scrimmage and is sixth in the league with 581 rushing yards.

Hall has been the star that the Jets were hoping for when they traded up to draft him in 2022.

But even with a big season, Hall’s future is still clouded in New York. If the Jets do not trade Hall during the deadline, he will be an unrestricted free agent going into the 2026 offseason.

Gang Green could mitigate that by placing the runner on the franchise tag, eating a one-year, $13.6 million contract. If they aren’t planning to keep him, the Jets could continue to shop Hall over the next week, especially considering the team won’t be in competition this season.

There is, of course, another possibility for Hall and the Jets: a long-term commitment from both sides.

What would Breece Hall extension look like?

Does Hall deserve an extension that would pay him among the top running backs like Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, and Derrick Henry?

While some fans may believe so, Hall’s injury history and inconsistency make any long-term extension murky, to say the least.

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As things currently stand, Spotrac has Hall’s projected next contract to be worth $38 million over four seasons. That is just $9.7 million per year, certainly a lower total cap hit than other top running backs around the league.

Things can certainly change for a player like Hall. The better he looks for the remainder of the 2025 season, the higher his projection will go.

At the moment, a potential long-term extension for Hall could resemble the contract given to Buffalo Bills running back James Cook.

The Pro Bowl runner in Western New York has been more durable and consistent than Hall throughout his career. Cook received a four-year, $48 million deal for an annual average of $12 million.

At the time of signing, Cook was the sixth-highest paid running back in the game.

Could Hall surpass him next offseason?

That’s hard to see, even if he were to hit the open market. But as the Jets look to build off their victory last week, we may be at the point where the team prefers to keep its young stars, not ship them off to the highest bidder.