The New York Jets revamped their roster more than almost any team in the NFL during the 2026 offseason.
Has that changed their expectations for the upcoming season?
The answer is not very much, at least according to the most recent 2026 win total projections from BetMGM.
Here are the betting site’s over-under win totals for each NFL team.
- Los Angeles Rams: 11.5
- Baltimore Ravens: 11.5
- Buffalo Bills: 10.5
- Detroit Lions: 10.5
- Green Bay Packers: 10.5
- Kansas City Chiefs: 10.5
- Los Angeles Chargers: 10.5
- Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5
- San Francisco 49ers: 10.5
- Seattle Seahawks: 10.5
- Denver Broncos: 9.5
- Chicago Bears: 9.5
- Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5
- Dallas Cowboys: 9.5
- Houston Texans: 9.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 9.5
- New England Patriots: 9.5
- Minnesota Vikings: 8.5
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8.5
- Atlanta Falcons: 7.5
- Carolina Panthers: 7.5
- Indianapolis Colts: 7.5
- New Orleans Saints: 7.5
- New York Giants: 7.5
- Washington Commanders: 7.5
- Cleveland Browns: 6.5
- Tennessee Titans: 6.5
- Las Vegas Raiders: 5.5
- New York Jets: 5.5
- Arizona Cardinals: 4.5
- Miami Dolphins: 4.5
The Jets have an over-under of 5.5, tied with the Las Vegas Raiders for 30th in the NFL. Only the Arizona Cardinals and rival Miami Dolphins, at 4.5 apiece, are lower.
Is this too low for New York?
The honest truth is, no, it isn’t. The Jets failed to eclipse 5.5 wins in each of the last two seasons and four of the past six. Until proven otherwise, it should be expected that the Jets will struggle in the standings.
It is true that many of those failed seasons occurred with completely different rosters, coaching staffs, and front offices from the current iteration of the franchise. Head coach Aaron Glenn and general manager Darren Mougey are responsible for just one of the 15 seasons in the team’s current playoff drought.
Glenn and Mougey still have a chance to deviate from the Jets’ long-standing struggles. For now, though, they deserve to be lumped in with their predecessors until the results follow on the field.
The duo’s debut season in Florham Park delivered a -203 point differential, the third-worst mark in franchise history. So far, they’ve been as bad or worse than Robert Saleh, Todd Bowles, Adam Gase, or any other low point in the franchise’s history.
Of course, there are plenty of caveats to the ugly results of the 2025 season. Glenn and Mougey came in while the Jets were in a transitional stage following the failed Aaron Rodgers era. The roster’s talent level was depleted as New York reaped the cap ramifications of the all-in moves that were made to maximize Rodgers’ tenure. The new regime only doubled down on the situation when they traded two All-Pros mid-season for future first-round picks.
Still, 3-14 is 3-14. NFL analysts and fans outside of the Gang Green fandom have little reason to believe that things will change until they see it. For that reason, a 5.5 over-under is fair for the Jets.
But there are plenty of reasons for the New York faithful to believe that the boys in green will comfortably eclipse that mark, whether those outside of Florham Park believe it or not.
