How well did Mike White perform against the Cincinnati Bengals beyond the box score?

Throughout the 2021 season, I will be running a weekly series of breakdowns in which I analyze the performance of the New York Jets’ starting quarterbackย by grading every single one of his plays on a 0-to-10 scale.

My goal with this grading system is to capture the true quality of the quarterback’s performance. Box score statistics can be misleading, as they do not account for a variety of factors that determine whether a quarterback performed well or poorly on a given play.

After re-watching each play on the All-22 film, I grade them on a 0-to-10 scale and then take the average of all plays to form a 0-to-100 overall score with 50 being approximately league-average (based on my studying of numerous other quarterback performances across the league).

Here are just a handful of the primary factors that are taken into account in the grading of each play, and a basic description of what Iโ€™m looking for:

  • Decision-making (Did the QB choose the best available option or did he leave a better play on the field?)
  • Throw difficulty (Clean pocket or pressured? Wide open or tight window? Stationary or on the move? More difficult throws are more valuable.)
  • Accuracy/placementย (Even if the pass is completed, was the ball placed in the best possible spot or did the receiver have to make an extra effort to catch it?)
  • Game situation โ€“ score, time, field position, down and distance (Good decisions based on the clock/situation are crucial. Playing the sticks is also important โ€“ it is not a good play to throw a 5-yard out on third-and-10 while a 15-yard dig is open, but a 5-yard out on third-and-2 is good.)

Ultimately, itโ€™s all about context. Not all 40-yard completions are created equal. Not all interceptions are created equal. You need to watch a play to understand whether the quarterback did a good or bad job. The raw result of a play cannot give you that answer.

When we analyze every play on film multiple times and grade the quarterbackโ€™s individual effort independent of his surroundings or the on-paper outcome of the play, we get a much better estimation of how well he actually played.

Of course, keep in mind that these grades are subjective. They are but one manโ€™s opinion and are not gospel. Feel free to let me know your takes on my grades for these performances.

Letโ€™s dig into everything that went into my 0-to-100 grade for Mike White‘s historic performance against the Cincinnati Bengals.

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