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Best prop bets for Super Bowl LVI: Should you bet the coin toss?

Super Bowl, Coin Toss, Patriots, Giants
Super Bowl XLII, Getty Images

Highlighting the best Super Bowl LVI prop bets

Super Bowl LVI is just one day away. I previously shared my picks on the over/under total and a first-quarter play for Sunday’s matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Rams. Now, I want to get into a few prop bets that look appealing to help make your Super Bowl a bit more interesting.

All bets via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Coin toss: Heads (-104)

I think the coin toss for the Super Bowl is one the most exciting bets you can make. Your fate is determined in a split second before the game even starts.

I’d like to preface this by saying it is my yearly tradition to always take heads. With that being said, the coin toss has landed on heads 26 times and tails 29 times dating back to Super Bowl I. Obviously, there isn’t much of a statistical edge here for the coin toss.

However, one noticeable trend shows that the coin toss outcomes tend to come in bunches. Since Super Bowl II, the coin toss outcome has been a repeat of the previous Super Bowl in 32 instances out of 54 (59.2%). In last year’s Super Bowl, the coin landed on heads (correctly called by the Kansas City Chiefs).

Joe Mixon: Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

I anticipate the Rams being able to generate a lot of pressure on Joe Burrow. In the Bengals’ Divisional Round matchup against the Tennessee Titans, Burrow was sacked an incredibly high nine times. In that game, Joe Mixon had six catches for 51 yards.

While the Rams may not get to Burrow nine times, I expect a lot of pressure which should open up screens and quick throws to Mixon out of the backfield. This will take some pressure off Burrow and allow Mixon to have plenty of receiving opportunities.

Bengals First Scoring Play – Field Goal (+160)

I think the Bengals are going to have a tough time getting into the end zone. I do not expect the Bengals to be able to run the ball very well and it is always harder to throw down by the goal line. I also believe the game is going to start slow with both teams trying to feel each other out. This will keep the Bengals in third-and-long situations which should result in an Evan McPherson field goal for the Bengals’ first scoring play.

Leonard Floyd To Record a Sack (+130)

The Rams have one the best pass rush units in the league. With Aaron Donald continuing to be the best player at his position and the midseason trade for Von Miller paying dividends, this unit dominates games.

I expect the Bengals to try to gameplan for Aaron Donald and Von Miller, allowing Leonard Floyd to get a lot of one on one snaps. This could lead to him having a big game on the stat sheet against one of the league’s worst offensive lines.

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