Evan Neal, Derek Stingley, Ikem Ekwonu, 2022 NFL Draft
Evan Neal, Derek Stingley, Ikem Ekwonu, 2022 NFL Draft, Getty Images, Jet X Graphic

The national opinion on the New York Jets’ fourth overall pick is changing

Over the past few months, I have published three articles that broke down the national consensus on who the New York Jets will pick in the first round of the 2022 NFL draft. In all three of those (Dec. 27, Jan. 4, and Jan. 30), the Jets were expected to select LSU cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. with the fourth overall pick.

The tide is turning.

In the latest internet consensus mock draft at the website NFL Mock Draft Database – which compiles data from hundreds of mock drafts and big boards from experts across the internet – the Jets have a new favorite in the No. 4 spot.

Based on mock drafts published over the past week (Feb. 10 to Feb. 16), NFL Mock Draft Database has the Jets selecting North Carolina State offensive lineman Ikem Ekwonu with the fourth overall pick. Over this timeframe, Ekwonu was the most commonly-mocked player to New York at No. 4 with 25% of all picks.

At No. 10, the Jets are favored to go with a familiar face: Stingley Jr., who was sent to the Jets in the 10th slot in 22% of mock drafts. Perhaps Jets fans would be more open to the idea of Stingley Jr. – a talented but oft-injured prospect – if he were selected with the 10th pick instead of the fourth.

Jet X Offseason Tool 2023 4

Here is NFL Mock Draft Database’s consensus mock draft based on picks made over the past week:

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama (73% of picks)
  2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan (62%)
  3. Houston Texans: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon (33%)
  4. New York Jets: Ikem Ekwonu, OT, North Carolina St. (25%)
  5. New York Giants: Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi St. (19%)
  6. Carolina Panthers: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh (36%)
  7. New York Giants: George Karlaftis, EDGE, Purdue (17%)
  8. Atlanta Falcons: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame (14%)
  9. Denver Broncos: Malik Willis, QB, Liberty (22%)
  10. New York Jets: Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU (22%)

Mississippi State tackle Charles Cross and Liberty quarterback Malik Willis are new entries into the top 10 since we last checked up on the consensus, which was Jan. 30. They replace Iowa center Tyler Linderbaum and Mississippi quarterback Matt Corral. In the site’s past-week mock, Lindenbaum is now projected to land in Philadelphia at No. 19 while Corral is projected to land in Washington at No. 11.

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Michael Nania is one of the best analytical New York Jets minds in the world, combining his statistical expertise with game film to add proper context to the data. Nania scrapes every corner, ensuring you know all there is to know about everyone from the QB to the long snapper. Nania's Numbers, Nania's QB Grades, and Nania's All-22 give fans a deeper and more well-rounded dive into the Jets than anyone else can offer. Email: michael.nania[at]jetsxfactor.com - Twitter: @Michael_Nania
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1 year ago

After the super bowl. No football and now looks like no baseball. Sports dead zone. I did one of the simulators and got Jermaine Johnson at 4 Burks at 10 Zion Johnson Trey McBride Kirby Joseph Sky Moore and Chad Muma. A RB and another TE. Think they’d sign up for that one?

If they got some skill guys and a pass rush in FA I wouldn’t mind going all OL in the first round with those two players. We’d conceivably have the best OL in the league or close to it and the kid would have all day to throw. Oh and we’d run the ball at will.

Gary Berman
Gary Berman
1 year ago

I know that’s who I would prefer at 4. I know I’m in the minority but I want to double up at 10 with Linderbaum. Oline taken care of. Zach protected. I don’t understand why people can’t see that this is the clear priority.

1 year ago

FINALLY the draft “pundits” are coming around to JD’s line of thinking when it comes to team construction, for the most part. My only concern is Jax’ or Houston’s FO growing a functional brain and taking the versatile mauler before the Jets pick at 4. Although at 10, with edge rusher Ojabo still on the board, Stingley, Jr. still seems like a high risk pick.