Zach Wilson, NY Jets, Over Under, Win Total, Bet
Zach Wilson, New York Jets, Getty Images

New York Jets’ 2022 over-under win total projection is low, making it an enticing bet

Sportsbooks have begun offering NFL win totals for the 2022 season, and the New York Jets‘ total is surprisingly low.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Jets are in for another long and painful season. DraftKings placed the Jets at 5.5 wins in their opening win total projections. This is good for the third-lowest total in the league, better than only the Atlanta Falcons and Houston Texans.

I could definitely make the case for the Jets to once again go under their set win total. If quarterback Zach Wilson does not progress as expected and the Jets are littered with key injuries again, they could certainly end up winning five games or less.

However, at this point in the league year, I want to stay optimistic the Jets will take a positive step forward next year.

Let’s take a look at why I think the Jets will win six or more games next season.

Zach Wilson takes second-year leap

Zach Wilson taking the second-year leap is the most important aspect of New York’s 2022 season. Wilson needs to establish himself as a top 20 NFL quarterback before hopefully taking another step forward in year three.

The Jets have already upgraded their offensive line and tight end room, and an upgrade at wide receiver – be it via trade or the draft – seems to be on its way. These additions will definitely help the second year quarterback.

Familiarity with the coaching staff and scheme will also maximize Wilson’s potential to take a step forward this season. Playing under the same coaches and knowing the ins and outs of this offense will allow Wilson to think less and play more freely.

Underdog Jets Podcast, Wayne Chrebet Meet & Greet

Influx of veteran talent and young talent

I think the Jets had a very strong free agency period, bringing in guys that are good scheme fits and culture guys for the locker room. Jordan Whitehead and D.J. Reed are nice additions to the back end of the defense. Laken Tomlinson boosts the offensive line, and C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin will serve as security blankets for Zach Wilson.

The Jets also have four picks in the top 38 selections of the NFL draft. This is a tremendous opportunity to fill out the roster and add impactful starters. With two top-10 picks, a pair of blue-chip prospects like Kayvon Thibodeaux, Ikem Ekwonu, Ahmad Gardner, George Karlaftis, or Jermaine Johnson could be added to the Jets roster.

Overall, I think the Jets will win six games or more this upcoming season. The combination of a year-two leap from Wilson, the veterans brought in, the draft picks set to come, and progress from the young talent already on the roster should definitely boost the Jets’ win total this season. I imagine the Jets winning somewhere from six to eight games in 2022.

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Brendan Vander Vliet is a writer who specializes in NFL gambling content. Everything from spreads, totals, props, etc. is covered. Email: bvander_vliet[at]


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If Zach continues his progress we are fine. No Leaps are needed just the same steady improvement we saw last year.
1st 3 games 7 INT’s. Next 5 games 4 INT’s and Last 5 Games 0 INT’s. Last 7 Games 9 Total TD’s and just 3 Turnovers. The big jump he needed was already taken. Now just continue steady progress and he can easily throw 24 TD’s/run for 4 TD’s a total of 28 Total TD’s and probably 8 Turnovers. Which would be awesome for us!!


While I disagree with your characterization of last year’s “big jump” from Zach, I understand why you might feel that way. If he picks up from where he left off and benefits from the better supporting cast than what he worked with late last year, then in retrospect you may be proven right in having the jump starting last year. Ultimately, if he produces the numbers you indicated at the end of your post, the team will have more than 5 wins. What those stats, 8-9 wins is likely.


Thanks for the feedback. The reason I say big jump is the understanding of the game. Going from 7 INT’s in just 3 starts to 0 over 5 starts is a huge improvement. I think it is often not understood how much better you have to see the field to make that type of improvement. The five starts in between where he steadily improved show it was not fluky because he was improving throughout. Totaled together still only 4 INT’s over 10 starts which is impressive for a rookie or seasoned pro.


I happen to believe in the improvement we saw late last year as well. I’ve seen it discounted by many. My only reservation for now is the small sample size. Here’s hoping it continues. If it does, the losing drought will be over soon enough.

Peter Buell
Peter Buell

I give him even more credit during that period because he had only Berrios and a bunch of guys from the practice squad to throw to.