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NY Jets vs. Patriots closing line: Still home underdogs

Jets Patriots Odds, Spread, Line, Picks, Michael Carter
New York Jets, New England Patriots, NFL Betting, Odds, Getty Images

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots spread, odds

  • New York Jets: +2.5 (-105)
  • New England Patriots: -2.5 (-115)

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

The 5-2 New York Jets enter Week 8 as 2.5-point home underdogs to the 3-4 New England Patriots. After the Jets opened the week as 1.5-point underdogs, the line moved another point in New England’s favor during the week.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots moneyline

  • New York Jets: +124
  • New England Patriots: -146

The Patriots have won their last 12 meetings against the Jets, most recently including a 54-13 beatdown just last year at Gillette Stadium.

Both teams are seemingly going in opposite directions.

For the first time in 20 years, Bill Belichick has a quarterback controversy on his hands with Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe as it seems neither of them can stake their claim to the starting quarterback role.

Meanwhile, the Jets are enjoying their best start since 2010 and are filled with young talent, having won four straight games.

The biggest key to winning this game for the Jets is to stop the run. This should keep the Patriots in third down and long, making Mac Jones throw the ball and try to beat a really strong Jets secondary. Starting center David Andrews being out should also present a huge mismatch for Quinnen Williams and the Jets’ defensive line in both the run and pass games.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots over-under

  • Over: 39.5 (-115)
  • Under: 39.5 (-105)

Historically, divisional games tend toward the under. The familiarity between both teams gives the defenses a small advantage. This should be no different this game as both defenses are much better than their offensive counterparts.

While the Jets have been able to run the ball well this year, the loss of Alijah Vera-Tucker and Breece Hall will certainly slow the run game down. Since Zach Wilson has returned from his knee injury from the preseason, the passing offense has left a lot to be desired. Wilson is only averaging 173 yards per game and has only one passing touchdown in four games.

New England is averaging 122.6 yards per game running the ball, which is 12th-best in the NFL. However, their passing attack only ranks 21st in the NFL at 218 yards per game.

I expect both defenses to have the edge and keep this game low scoring.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots injuries

New York got hit with the injury bug last week in its win over the Denver Broncos. Running back Breece Hall and versatile offensive lineman Alijah Vera-Tucker were lost for the remainder of the season. The Jets will also be without Corey Davis, who is the team’s leading receiver.

New England is also dealing with its share of injuries. Defensive tackle Christian Barmore and veteran center David Andrews are both out. Starting safety Kyle Dugger missed practice Wednesday and Thursday but returned to the team for Friday’s practice.

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