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Best NY Jets prop bets vs. Dolphins: Rely on the defense

NFL Prop Bets, New York Jets, Miami Dolphins
NFL Prop Bets, New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, John Franklin-Myers, Getty Images

New York Jets-Miami Dolphins prop bets, odds

The New York Jets wrap up a disappointing ending to the regular season on Sunday when they head to Miami for a divisional contest. They already beat the Dolphins 40-17 in Week 5, but a lot has changed since that time on both sides. After New York and Miami got off to hot starts in the regular season, both have lost five straight and have given up their strong playoff chances. New York has been eliminated while Miami still has a chance to get in.

Let’s jump into some interesting prop bets for Jets vs. Dolphins.

All odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Miami Dolphins team total under: 20.5 (-125)

The Jets’ defense was dominant for stretches in the 2022 season. As of late, they seem to be bending but not breaking and holding teams to field goals. With Skylar Thompson in line to start for Miami, that should continue this week as I do not see the Dolphins putting up too many points.

The Jets are relatively healthy on defense compared to the other side of the ball. Most of New York’s projected defensive starters from the beginning of the season will be playing Sunday against an injured Miami team. With a few offensive linemen banged up for the Dolphins, I expect the defensive line to have a strong day.

New York’s defense ranks at the top of the league in almost every statistical category. In terms of total yards given up, the Jets rank third-best in the NFL behind the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers. They also rank second in passing yards per game at only 192.5 yards. Lastly, and probably most importantly, the Jets rank fourth-best in the league with 19.1 points per game allowed.

I think the Jets’ defense should close out the season on a high note and keep the Dolphins under 20 points.

Zonovan Knight anytime touchdown (+215)

Zonovan Knight has been a pleasant surprise this season after being undrafted in the 2022 NFL draft. After a strong pre-season, he landed on the practice squad and finally got his chance to play in Week 12. He has made the most of it and should get strong consideration for a roster spot in 2023.

In his 6 games, Knight has 278 rushing yards, which is good for 3.8 yards per carry. It may not sound very good, but the way the Jets have been running the ball lately, he has been a bright spot in the run game.

With Joe Flacco under center, I think the Jets’ game plan on offense should be to get the run game going early. Knight will get most of those carries and should have plenty of chances to get into the end zone.

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