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NY Jets vs. Dolphins closing line: New favorite after QB change

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New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins spread, odds,

  • Miami Dolphins: -3.5 (-104)
  • New York Jets: +3.5 (-118)

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Earlier in the week, the New York Jets were small road favorites over the Miami Dolphins when Mike White was the presumptive starter. When Joe Flacco was named the starting quarterback for the Jets, the line quickly shifted in the opposite direction. Now, the line has settled about 24 hours before kickoff with the Jets being 3.5-point road underdogs.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins moneyline

  • Miami Dolphins: -184
  • Seattle Seahawks: +154

The New York Jets are +154 on the moneyline, meaning a $100 bet would payout $154 of profit.

Similar to the Jets, the Miami Dolphins are slumping to the finish line. Miami was once 8-3 and at the top of the AFC East, but has now lost five in a row and could still miss the playoffs.

In his three starts this year, Jets quarterback Joe Flacco threw for 901 yards on 155 pass attempts with 5 touchdown passes with 3 interceptions. Flacco had a 1-2 record.

I think Miami has the edge in this game even if they are on their third-string quarterback. The Dolphins will make the playoffs with a win over the Jets and the Patriots losing against the Bills. Miami will be motivated to not only make the playoffs, but to get some revenge from the Jets’ 40-17 win over Miami in Week 5.

Look for the Dolphins to come out swinging and get a big win for their playoff chances.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins over-under

  • New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins over-under: 37.5
  • Over: -104
  • Under: -118

Normally, I would stay away from a total like this in these circumstances. With two backup quarterbacks starting, we don’t really know what to expect.

This is a late-season divisional game, which usually trends toward the under. I would agree with this trend considering the way the Jets’ offense is playing. Entering Week 18, New York has scored only three touchdowns in its last five games. Miami has been slightly better on offense, but should struggle with a third-string quarterback.

The Jets’ defense continues to not give up many points. New York has given up only 19.1 points per game this season which is the fourth-best in the league. They also rank third in the NFL in total yards per game allowed at only 311.6.

I expect the Jets’ defense to be able to slow down the Dolphins with a backup quarterback and keep this a low-scoring game.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins injuries

Both teams enter this week with some tough losses on the injury report. The Jets have already ruled out Duane Brown (shoulder), Brandin Echols (quad), George Fant (knee), Nate Herbig (calf), Mike White (rib), and Lamarcus Joyner (hip). Meanwhile, Ashtyn Davis (ankle), Laurent Duvernay-Tardif (knee), C.J. Uzomah (ankle), and Jordan Whitehead (hamstring) are all listed as questionable.

Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) has already been ruled out by Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel. Terron Armstead (toe, pec, knee, hip), Kendall Lamm (ankle), and Cedrick Wilson Jr. (hip) are all listed as doubtful for Sunday. Teddy Bridgewater (knee, right finger), Bradley Chubb (ankle, hand), Xavien Howard (knee), Alex Ingold (thumb), and Eric Rowe (quad) are questionable. Everyone else on the injury report should be good to go on Sunday.

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