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After a great NFL Honors ceremony that featured four top spots going to New York Jets players new and old, fans of Gang Green can focus on the last big event of the 2022 season—the Super Bowl. Do it in style with a $200 bet365 promo code, guaranteed, win or lose.
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The matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles is projected to come down to the wire. The spread on this anticipated Super Bowl 57 matchup is currently 1.5 points, in favor of the Eagles, which is essentially a pick ’em.
For many sports bettors, this one is really too close to call. According to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs are -0.4 point favorites by DVOA, which really is a pick ’em.
With two weeks to squeeze every inch of the action out of the Super Bowl rounds, Radio Row, and the NFL Honors red carpet—including idiotic interview questions (such as Pittsburgh-area reporter Dave Dameshek asking Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni if this is a must-win game, a prank he apparently pulls every year), owners trying reeeeally hard not to get hit with tampering penalties (ahem, Woody Johnson circa 2014) while clearly tampering, and some more Manning brothers shenanigans—the actual game is nearly upon us. Finally, we won’t have to make up storylines to report about.
Read More Jet X Content:
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Article: 👉 The Best Super Bowl 57 Betting Promos and Sportsbook Bonuses
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Wonky Super Bowl 57 Best Bets
Interestingly, Super Bowl best bets articles usually hit on the more common wagers. But what about the under-the-radar bets that many NFL bettors like to hit on?
Let’s go with some bets we may not have covered yet—the more outlandish, the merrier. One caveat: these bets are still all related to the actual gameplay, not how many French fries commercials there will be.
Successful two-point conversion: Yes (+290)
These are strange odds to me. The two teams combined for five successful two-point conversions during the regular season. The Super Bowl is a time to play to win, not to try to avoid losing. I can see this game coming down to a two-point conversion attempt at the end, likely by Nick Sirianni (just based on his track record).
I’m going yes, someone makes a two-pointer. In fact, make it Dallas Goedart over Nick Bolton.
Total field goals made: 4 (+333)
How did I get to this total? Well, Andy Reid is a conservative coach. The Eagles were 10th in red zone defensive DVOA during the regular season. I think they’ll be able to hold Kansas City’s third-ranked red zone offense to some shorter field goal attempts by sacking Patrick Mahomes on third down. Throw in one field goal for the Eagles for good measure.
I did say weird. There doesn’t have to be the greatest justification for this pick. If you’re trying to be safe, go back and read some of our other articles about best bets.
First half score tied (+850)
Why not? Those are pretty nice odds compared to the Chiefs (+115) or Eagles (+100). With a 1.5-point spread, is a tie really only 10.53% likely to happen (which is the implied probability of +850 odds)?
Rushing touchdowns total: under 1.5 (+160)
I don’t love the odds here considering the type of offense the Eagles run, but I’m betting on the two following items:
- The Chiefs won’t have any rushing TD (they love Kelce in the red zone too much).
- The Eagles will get a long TD or two through the air, leaving less space for Jalen Hurts, Miles Sanders, Boston Scott, and Kenneth Gainwell to run one in.
I’m looking at one rushing TD and no more.
Dallas Goedart to score the first TD (+1200)
I’m not telling you to bet the house on this, but +1200 when the Chiefs struggle to cover over the middle? As I said before, Nick Bolton vs. Dallas Goedart is a matchup that favors Goedart every day of the week.
Jalen Hurts discovered that the middle of the field exists this season and found that it’s very much to his liking. Goedart has caught 83% of his targets this season. Give me the value.
Patrick Mahomes over 4.5 rushing attempts (+125)
This line seems to be under the assumption that Mahomes’s ankle will keep him from scrambling. Andy Reid admitted that Mahomes is not 100% but said that he can run any play in the playbook.
For Mahomes, the unwritten part of the playbook is to scramble. The Eagles struggled against rushing QBs this season, ranking 30th in Yards Above Replacement allowed.
With the Eagles bringing pressure from the edges, look for Mahomes to utilize his chronically underrated mobility to actually pass the line of scrimmage a number of times. I don’t think Philadelphia can spy Mahomes and also double Travis Kelce.
bet365 Sportsbook Super Bowl 57 Odds
|NFL Team or Player||Eagles vs. Chiefs
Super Bowl 57
|Philadelphia Eagles||💰 -1.5 (-110) Spread vs. Kansas City Chiefs|
|Kansas City Chiefs||💰 +1.5 (-110) Spread vs. Philadelphia Eagles|
|Philadelphia Eagles||💰 -125 Moneyline vs. Kansas City Chiefs|
|Kansas City Chiefs||💰 +105 Moneyline vs. Philadelphia Eagles|
|Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs||💰 Over-Under 51 Total Points (O -110 / U -110)|
|Jalen Hurts||💰 Over-Under 239.5 (O -110/ U -110) Passing Yards vs. Kansas City Chiefs|
|Patrick Mahomes||💰 Over-Under 294.5 (O -110 / U -110) Passing Yards vs. Philadelphia Eagles|
In terms of the Super Bowl 57 odds, bet365 is pretty much in line with many of the major sportsbooks across the board. The 1.5-point game line and 51-point over-under total is pretty standard at this stage of the preparation for both teams.